Friday, 2 October 2026
Base Metals desk · constructive view

AI's power bill: what it means for metals

The AI capex cycle is a metals story before it is a semiconductor story. The bill of materials points to copper, aluminium and silver first.

Filed by
Elena DuarteLatin America and Iberia
Published
Reading
5 min

Executive summary

The AI capex cycle is a metals story before it is a semiconductor story. The bill of materials points to copper, aluminium and silver first.

Desk
Base Metals
Stance
Constructive
Sources
1 cited
Reading
5 min
Section 01

The size of the ask

The IEA's 2024 analysis of data-centre electricity use projected that global demand from data centres, AI and cryptocurrencies could roughly double by 2030. Grid operator commentary through 2025 and 2026 has broadly agreed with that direction.

That electricity does not deliver itself. It requires transmission, transformers, switchgear and cooling, all of which are metal-intensive.

Section 02

Which producers benefit

Diversified base-metals producers with copper and aluminium exposure are the most direct beneficiaries. Silver, through its role in high-efficiency electronics and PV, is a quieter but real second-order winner.

It requires transmission, transformers, switchgear and cooling, all of which are metal-intensive.
Analyst note · Base Metals desk
Data visualiser

All-in sustaining cost distribution, producer sample

  • Q1 low1,180
  • Median1,465
  • Q3 high1,720
  • Marginal1,985
All-in sustaining cost distribution, producer sample
StageValue (US$/oz)
Q1 low1180
Median1465
Q3 high1720
Marginal1985

Reported AISC for the producers covered by the markets desk this quarter.

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Sources and further reading
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